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Mergers & Acquisitions:
Business Valuation |
Pricing the Business
Buying a Small Business:
procedures for structuring
transactions, negotiations and settlements. |
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By
Meir Liraz, CEO, BizMove. Used by permission.
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Business Valuation Model |
The Business Valuation Model combines relative
indicators for future performance with basic financial data (Revenue,
Variable, and Fixed Costs) to value the business.
This valuation method
can be used for business purchase, sale, or establishment. The model
uniquely applies your intuitive business and market knowledge to provide
a 3 year performance forecast and a business valuation.
The model is compact and easy to use with minimal input requirements.
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Income Statement Methods of Valuation:
Four Steps |
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Step #1
The historical cash flows are a good basis from which to project future
cash flows. Cash flows are computed to include the following:
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The net profit or loss of the business.
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The owner's salary (in excess of an equivalent manager's
compensation).
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Discretionary Benefits paid to the owner (such as automobile
allowance, travel expenses, personal insurance and entertainment).
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Interest (unless the buyer will be assuming the interest payment).
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Non-Recurring Expenses (such as non-recurring legal fees).
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Non-Cash Expenses (such as depreciation and amortization).
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Equipment Replacements or Additions. (This figure should be deducted
from the other numbers since it represents an expense the buyer will
incur in generating future cash flows).
While the
future cash flows may be projected out for a number of years,
for many small businesses it is not possible to predict very far into
the future before the projections become meaningless. Even with somewhat
larger and more substantial businesses, it is difficult to project cash
flows for more than 5 years.
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Step #2
Once the future cash flows have been projected, they must be discounted
back to their present value. This is done by selecting a reasonable rate
of return or capitalization rate for the buyer's investment. The
selected rate of return varies substantially from one business to the
next and is largely a function of risk. The lower the risk associated
with an investment in a business, the lower the rate of return that is
required. The rate of return required is usually in the 20-50% range
and, for most businesses, it is in the 30-40% range. The present value
of the future cash flows can then be determined by using a financial
calculator or a set of present value tables that are available in most
book stores. The following example demonstrates how the conversion is
made with a 40% rate of return.
Year Projected Discount Present
Cash Flow Factor *
Value
Year 1 $360 .714
$257
Year 2 $383 .510
$195
Year 3 $397 .364
$145
Year 4 $413 .260
$107
Year 5 $438 .186
$ 81
_____
$785 Total**
* - Based on 40% rate of return. The discount factor declines in each
succeeding year.
* * - Present value of the sum of discounted projected cash flows. This
figure is added to the residual value of the business to arrive at the
total value of the business .
Step #3
One more calculation must now be done – the residual value of the
business. The residual value is the present value of the business's
estimated net worth at the end of the period of projected cash flows (in
this example, at the end of five years). This is calculated by adding
the current net worth of the business and future annual additions to the
net worth. The annual additions are defined as the sum of each year's
after-tax earnings, assuming no dividends are paid to stockholders.
These additions are added to the current net worth, and that total is
discounted to its present value to yield the residual value .
Step #4
The residual value is added to the present value sum of the projected
future cash flows previously computed to arrive at a price for the
business. An example follows.
After Tax Income
Year 1 $125
Year 2 $131
Year 3 $138
Year 4 $144
Year 5 $152
______
Total Additions to net worth $690
Current net worth
$910
______
Total net worth
$1600
Residual Value (1600 x.186) $298* * *
*** - Multiplying the total net worth by the discount factor used in the
final year of projected cash flows yields the residual value. Adding the
residual value of $298 to the present value sum of projected cash flows
of $785 yields a value for the business of $1,083. |
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Buyer and Seller: Different
Perspectives
Determining the value of a business is the part of the buy-sell transaction
most fraught with potential for differences of opinion. Buyers and sellers
usually do not share the same perspective. Each has a distinct rationale,
and that rationale may be based on logic or emotion.
The buyer may believe that the purchase will create synergy or an economy of
scale because of the way the business will be operated under new ownership.
The buyer may also see the business as an especially good lifestyle fit.
These factors are likely to increase the amount of money a buyer is willing
to pay for a business. The seller may have a greater than normal desire to
sell due to financial difficulties or the death or illness of the owner or a
member of the owner's family.
For the transaction to come to conclusion, both parties must be satisfied
with the price and be able to understand how it was determined.
Factors That Determine Value
The topic of business evaluation is so complex that any explanation short of
an entire book does not do it justice. The process takes into account many,
many variables and requires that a number of assumptions be made. Shannon
Pratt, a noted business valuation expert, names six of the most important
factors:
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Recent profit history.
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General condition of the company (such as condition of facilities,
completeness and accuracy of books and records, morale and so on).
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Market demand for the particular type of business.
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Economic conditions (especially cost and availability of capital and any
economic factors that directly affect the business).
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Ability to transfer goodwill or other intangible values to a new owner.
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Future profit potential.
The six factors named above determine the fair market value. However,
businesses rarely change hands at fair market value. The reason is that
three other factors often come into play in arriving at an agreed upon
price. Pratt identifies them as follows:
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Special circumstances of the particular buyer and seller.
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Tradeoff between cash and terms.
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Relative tax consequences for the buyer and seller, which depend on how
the transaction is structured.
The definition of fair market value is the price at which property would
change hands between a willing buyer and a willing seller, both being
adequately informed of all material facts and neither being compelled to buy
or to sell. In the market place, buyer and seller are nearly always acting
under different levels of compulsion.
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Quick valuation of any
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Rule-of-Thumb Formulas
The rule for using rule-of-thumb formulas for pricing a business is don't
use them. The problem with rule-of thumb formulas is that they address few
of the factors that impact a business's value. They rely on a "one size fits
all" approach when, in fact, no two businesses are identical.
Rule-of-thumb formulas do, however, provide a quick means of establishing
whether a price for a certain business is "in the ballpark." Formulas exist
for many businesses. They are normally calculated as a percentage of either
sales or asset values, or a combination of both.
Comparables
Using comparable sales as a means of valuing a business has the same
inherent flaw as rule-of-thumb formulas. Rarely if ever are two businesses
truly comparable. However, businesses in the same industry do have some
characteristics in common, and a careful contrasting may allow a conclusion
to be drawn about a range of value.
Balance Sheet Methods of Valuation
This approach calls for the assets of the business to be valued. It is most
often used when the business being valued generates earnings primarily from
its assets rather than the contributions of its employees or when the cost
of starting a business and getting revenues past the break-even point
doesn't greatly exceed the value of the business's assets.
There are a number of balance sheet methods of valuation including book
value, adjusted book value, and liquidation value. Each has its proper
application. The most useful balance sheet method is the adjusted book value
method. This method calls for the adjustment of each asset's book value to
equal the cost of replacing that asset in its current condition. The total
of the adjusted asset values is then offset against the sum of the
liabilities to arrive at the adjusted book value.
Adjustments are frequently made to the book values of the following items:
Accounts Receivable - often adjusted down to reflect the lack of
collectability of some receivables.
Inventory - usually adjusted down since it may be difficult to sell off all
of the inventory at cost.
Real Estate - frequently adjusted up since it has often appreciated in value
since it was placed in service.
Furniture, Fixtures, and Equipment - adjusted up if those items in service
(probably more than a few years) have been depreciated below their market
value, or adjusted down if the items have become obsolete.
Income Statement Methods of Valuation
Although a balance sheet formula is sometimes the most accurate means to
value a business, it is more common to use an income statement method.
Income statement methods are most concerned with the profits or
cash flow
produced by the business's assets. One of the more frequently used methods
is the discounted future cash flow method. This method calls for the future
cash flows (before taxes and before debt service) of the business to be
calculated using the 4-step formula.
Although this formula is widely used, it cannot be applied in this
simplistic form to arrive at a definitive value conclusion. It fails to
address issues such as the buyer's working capital investment, the terms of
the transaction, or the valuing of assets like real estate which may not be
needed to produce the projected cash flows. However, it is useful in
establishing a price range for negotiation purposes. |

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