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Buffett's
Investment Secrets
7 Contrarian
Principles – Ignoring Convention |
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Do not follow the crowd. Ignore the
market, the crowd, and its fashions...
More
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Identifying an Outstanding Company:
Buffett's Criteria2 |
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Buffett's Three
Non-financial Investment Criteria
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It is simple and understandable.
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It has a consistent operating history.
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It has favorable long-term prospects.
Buffett's Four Financial Investment Criteria
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Return of equity (not earning per share)
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"Owner earning" (the share of profits that belongs to investors).
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Profit margins (which must be high)
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Return on reinvested profits (which must create at least $1 of
market value for every dollar invested)
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Six Questions for
Measuring the Potential Investment |
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How long will it take for profits to pay
back the investment?
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When will the cash stop flowing out and
start returning?
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Do we really have to make this investment?
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What is the return on investment?
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Is that return comfortably above the true
cost of the capital invested?
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Looking ahead, and allowing for interest
rates, what is the future pay-off worth in today's values?
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A to Z of Venture
Investing |
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A-F: Opportunity Introduction
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Do most inventors approaching you lack business skills? If you
don't want to miss a great investment opportunity but have
no time to teach them the A,B,C, etc. of venture financing, just advise them to
go
thoroughly the steps of the Ten3 e-Coach on "Venture
Financing". This will make your communication
with first-time entrepreneurs much more enjoyable and effective.
Please send us
e-mail if you wish to become an associate
of the Ten3 e-Coach on Venture Financing and receive well prepared
investment proposals from our graduates who will match with your
investment selection criteria.
G-M:
Initial Screening
N-T:
Due Diligence
U-Z:
Negotiating and Closing the
Deal
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The Magic Investment Formula
The magic venture investing formula is simple:
Invest in young, good,
innovative, and
growing
companies while they are cheap.
But what is "good", and what is "cheap"?
Joel Greenblatt3, who has been
incredibly successful running a hedge fund in part according to this
Buffett-like approach, defines good and cheap companies as follows. Good
companies earn high returns on their investments. Cheap companies sport
share prices that are low (based on past earnings). His proxies for these
criteria are return on capital (operating profit as a percentage of net
working capital and net fixed assets) and earnings yield (pretax operating
earnings compared with enterprise value, which is the market value plus the
net debt).
How To Get Well Prepared Clients?
It's easy now. Just advise your prospective clients to follow the procedures of the
free Ten3 step-by-step guide to venture
financing or the
Ten3 e-course on "Venture
Financing". It will provide them
with free guidance on when, how and what type of finance they should seek,
how to prepare a sound venture proposition and a business plan, how to
prepare and make a venture presentation, and how to negotiate and structure
the deal.
VC Funding: Documents To Be Prepared
As a venture investor, this problem must be well known to
you: too many inventors ask you to invest in their idea, but few can
demonstrate sound skills of converting ideas into a
profitable business. Indeed, most
inventors lack entrepreneurial and business skills. According to Saratoga Ventures, only 6 out of 1000 business
ideas get funded on average by venture capitalists. It does not mean that
the remaining 994 out of 1000 ideas are not good enough. It's just you know that
ideas are a dime a dozen, only execution skills count. So, you invest in
people, not in ideas.
The
Ten3 Business e-Coach can
help you turn inventors approaching you into good entrepreneurs without
any effort from your side. Our step-by-step guide on
raising funds for start up ventures would help first-time entrepreneurs
to understand your investment strategy and preferences and develop a
business proposal that meets your expectations. All you need to do now is to advise ill-prepared
inventors to go through all its steps thoroughly and come back to you
afterwards. And enjoy the results.
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Venture
Financing
Complete "A to Z"
Smart & Fast guide
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Make your business attractive to investors!
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Understand the Venture Financing Chain
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Understand the requirements of Venture Capital Investors
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Follow
unique Step-by-step Guide to
Venture Financing
New-generation e-book
+ 40 slides ►
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Syndicates of Venture Capital Investors
Some VC firms form venture capital keiretsu, loosely formed
blocks of firms that invest together.
Corporate Investing
3 Strategies of Market Leaders
Corporations are a major – and rapidly growing
– source of
funds for new ventures. Strategic benefits of corporate venture
investing may include:
Passion-driven:
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Discovery of unmet customer needs and unserved emerging
markets
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Potentially high return on investment
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Supplements to internal research and product/service
development investments
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Improved efficiency of the
value chain management, in particular supply chain and
customer relationships
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Development of new business relationships
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Preparing potential candidates for strategic alliance or
acquisition
Fear-driven:
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Reducing the risk of missing a new turn in technological
development
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Preventing competitors from acquiring a breakthrough
technology
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Motivating internal talents to outperform outside ventures
Valuation
The value of a company is the future cash that can be taken
out of the business, discounted back to the present. The key to successful
business valuation and investing
is accurately estimating the magnitude and timing of these future cash
flows, which are determined by:
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How profitable a company is (defined by how much its
return on invested capital exceeds its weighted average cost of capital)
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How much it can grow the amount of capital it can invest
at high rates over time.
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How sustainable its excess returns are.2
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The Business Valuation Model combines relative
indicators for future performance with basic financial data (Revenue,
Variable, and Fixed Costs) to value the business.
This valuation method
can be used for business purchase, sale, or establishment. The model
uniquely applies your intuitive business and market knowledge to provide
a 3 year performance forecast and a business valuation.
The model is compact and easy to use with minimal input requirements. |
Case in Point
Warren
Buffett's Investment Criteria
Warren Buffett was once asked what is the most important thing
he looks for when evaluating a company to invest in. Without hesitation, he
replied, "Sustainable competitive advantage". Indeed, while
business valuation matters, "it
is the
future growth and prosperity of the company underlying a stock, not its
current price, that is most important. A company's prosperity, in turn, is
driven by how powerful and enduring its competitive advantages are."2
Sustainable competitive advantage and
market category leadership give a company the edge that keep competitors
at bay and reap extraordinary growth and profits. Warren Buffett seeks to
identify rare companies with strong competitive advantage that has a
potential to grow even stronger over time. When a company is able to achieve
this, its investors can be rewarded for decades.
Often, investors in high-growth companies are disappointed
not because the growth projections were terribly wrong, but because the
implicit assumptions that the market is making about the sustainability of
these companies' competitive advantages are wildly optimistic. Warren Buffett
said it best in his Fortune article
(November 1999):
"The key to investing is not assessing how much an industry
is going to affect society, or how much it will grow, but rather determining
the competitive advantage of any given company and, above all, the
durability of that advantage. The products or services that have wide,
sustainable moats around them are the ones that deliver rewards to
investors."
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Calculates the present value
of any investment project or company share based on forecast
cash flows and income proformas or actual data.
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Quick valuation of any
project or business, or option using cash flow forecasting,
black-scholes formula or earnings forecasts.
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Provides five, ten, fifteen and twenty year value basis,
share value and net worth.
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